Felix Prehn
3 min readJun 28, 2024

Felix Prehn — The Last Investing Opportunity of Your Life + Stock Market News (27 June 2024)

In the dynamic world of investing, staying informed and making timely decisions can be the key to substantial gains. Felix Prehn of Goat Academy shares his insights on the latest market trends, significant stock movements, and the strategic opportunities available. This post provides an in-depth look at the market’s current state, highlighting key stocks and sectors poised for potential growth.

Market Overview

Today, significant data from the US government and major earnings reports have painted a picture of a market preparing for a flat trajectory. Despite this, savvy investors can find opportunities amidst the fluctuations. Notably, Micron Technology’s stock dropped from $142 to $136, despite strong earnings and solid margins. This dip may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors.

Similarly, Levi Strauss & Co. experienced a significant drop, falling from $23 to $19 due to a softer outlook. This regression brings the stock back to its March levels, signaling potential nervousness around consumer stocks.

Pre-Market Movements

In pre-market trading, Nvidia, Visa, and Tesla showed minor fluctuations, while Amazon continued its rally, supported by a strong technical buy signal. Major S&P 500 stocks such as JPMorgan, Meta, Verizon, and Coca-Cola are in uptrends, indicating robust performance in the big tech sector. Conversely, Nike and Visa are among the stocks showing sell signals, reflecting a cautious sentiment among investors.

Hedge Fund Activities and Retail Investors

Interestingly, hedge funds have been selling tech stocks at unprecedented rates. Despite this, tech stocks remain buoyant, driven by retail investors who are net buyers, purchasing approximately a billion dollars’ worth of stocks daily. This trend underscores a significant shift in market dynamics, where retail investors play an increasingly influential role.

Tech Stocks and AI Rally

The ongoing AI rally, spearheaded by companies like Nvidia, has been a major driver of market optimism. Nvidia’s revenue from tech giants like Microsoft highlights the substantial demand for advanced computing capabilities. However, there is a potential risk if the anticipated demand for cloud computing and AI solutions does not materialize as expected. While current spending by companies like Microsoft, Amazon, and Facebook supports Nvidia’s growth, any slowdown in their investments could impact the supply chain and overall market sentiment

Economic Indicators and Corporate Profits

Today’s macroeconomic data offers a mixed outlook. Durable goods orders and GDP growth are stable, but corporate profits have declined by 2.7%, raising concerns about the sustainability of the stock market rally. The disparity between the performance of major tech stocks and smaller companies could indicate future market volatility.

Investment Opportunities

For contrarian investors, utilities currently trade at low multiples, reminiscent of 2018 levels, suggesting a potential bullish opportunity. Additionally, growth small caps present an intriguing prospect for long-term investors. The IWO ETF, which focuses on small-cap growth companies, has underperformed compared to large-cap indices like QQQ. With potential rate cuts on the horizon, small-cap growth stocks could see significant gains, closing the performance gap with their larger counterparts.

Conclusion

The investing landscape is constantly evolving, and staying ahead requires keen observation and strategic thinking. Felix Prehn’s insights highlight the importance of understanding market dynamics and identifying opportunities amidst uncertainties. Whether it’s capitalizing on the dip in tech stocks or exploring the potential in utilities and small-cap growth stocks, informed decisions can pave the way for substantial returns.

Felix Prehn
Felix Prehn

Written by Felix Prehn

Felix Prehn is an ex hedge fund strategist at Macquarie, corporate lawyer, entrepreneur, options trader and proud dad to 3 cats and a dog

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